The Great Debate: Data versus Decisions

The Economist Magazine recent article addressed the seminal problem of what risk will hurt you the most – either what you don’t know or what you know but don’t interpret properly and implement remedial action.  The article focus was on the shadow banking system [non-bank financial systems] and the recent recession. But the lesson learned [or not] was that the key economic risks were not buried in data but rather in “plain view” – inflated housing prices and some banks low capital level. But “plain view” facts are not literally in plain view if you do not see them.  Some refer to this as black swan risk management. Whatever you refer to it as, the circumstances of these past few years is a reminder that if you change the way you look at things, the things you look at change. If so, how are you changing the way you look at 2011?

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